Abstract
This paper summarizes a series of analyses of clustered, sequential activity/location data collected by Harvard University for 160 children aged 7–12 years in Southern California (Geyh et al., 2000). The main purpose of the paper is to understand intra- and inter-variability in the time spent by the sample in the outdoor location, the location exhibiting the most variability of the ones evaluated. The data were analyzed using distribution-free hypothesis-testing (K–S tests of the distributions), generalized linear modeling techniques, and random-sampling schemes that produced “cohorts” whose descriptive statistical characteristics were evaluated against the original dataset. Most importantly, our analyses indicate that subdividing the population into appropriate cohorts better replicates parameters of the original data, including the interclass correlation coefficient (ICC), which is a relative measure of the intra- and inter-individual variability inherent in the original data. While the findings of our analyses are consistent with previous assessments of “time budget” and physical activity data, they are constrained by the rather homogeneous sample available to us. Owing to a general lack of longitudinal human activity/location data available for other age/gender cohorts, we are unable to generalize our findings to other population subgroups.
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Notes
Such as weekday/weekend distinctions (often called a day-type) and a daily ambient temperature indicator of season-of-the-year. See, for example, Johnson et al. (1996), Graham and McCurdy (2003), and McCurdy and Graham (2003). Other discriminating factors can be used, such as employment status, housing type, and physical activity level. We call any such discriminating approach a “day-block” method.
These include the NEM (NAAQS Exposure Model) and the probabilistic NEM (pNEM) models (Johnson, 1995; McCurdy, 1995), and the Air Pollution Exposure (APEX) model currently under development (Richmond et al., 2002). The approach also is used on a modified basis by non-EPA modelers (see, for example: Lurmann and Korc, 1994; Freijer et al., 1997).
Standard deviation is shown in parentheses.
The findings related to tracking are not consistent. Most studies find that it occurs, but others do not (both relative to some criterion measure). It is hard to reconcile the disparate findings since there are (1) multiple physical activity metrics used as the dependent variable, and (2) multiple criteria of a significant association used to determine if the phenomenon exists or not. Tracking usually is measured by an “interperiod correlation coefficient” (IPC). See Van Mechelen and Kemper (1995).
Monitoring using an instrumental measure of PA: oxygen consumption, heart rate, accelerometer/pedometer movement “counts,” or carbon dioxide production. All of these monitoring techniques require additional physiological data and/or relationships to calibrate the objective measure to a particular individual.
This is the term used by exercise physiologists for the more generally applicable interclass correlation coefficient (ICC) to assess reliability or consistency in PA over multiple days. See the text below.
Summer=June–August; Autumn=September–November; Winter =December–February; Spring=March–May. Because the South Coast of California has a climatology associated with cold ocean/land interface phenomena that greatly affects monthly temperature/precipitation characteristics which do not fit a school-calendar based seasonal typology, a 3-season breakdown was also used for some analyses (December–March; April–July; August–November).
Mean h/day estimates: indoors — 20.5; outdoors — 2.4; and in-transit — 1.1 (n=1,200).
Mean h/day estimates: indoors — 20.7; outdoors — 2.2; and in-transit — 1.0 (n=1292).
MacIntosh (2001) provides correlation coefficients for lags up to 6 days, but they are not calculated in the same manner as ours so they cannot be compared.
The PROC GLM procedure of SAS® was used for this modeling (Version 6: Cary, NC: SAS Institute, 2002). Basically, the procedure used was analysis of variance, with and without repeated measures.
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Acknowledgements
We thank the children and parents who participated in the Harvard Southern California Chronic Ozone Exposure Study, as well as the following Harvard University staff members: A. Geyh, J. Arnold, C. Bench, D. Burlow, D. Belliveau, L. Kole, M. Palmer-Rhea, L. Sanchez, N. Scopen, and M. Simun. We also thank unidentified staff of the Rim of the World and Upland Unified School Districts who provided us with supplemental information concerning the school calendars for the time period of interest. The work was supported by the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences Grant RO1-ES06370 and, in part, by the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences Harvard Center for Environmental Health grant ES000002. In response to a reviewer's comments, we reorganized the paper and undertook additional analyses that hopefully improved it and broadened its applicability.
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Xue, J., McCurdy, T., Spengler, J. et al. Understanding variability in time spent in selected locations for 7–12-year old children. J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol 14, 222–233 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1038/sj.jea.7500319
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/sj.jea.7500319
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