Main

Orbiting Jupiter, Saturn and Uranus are the so-called regular satellites—which orbit approximately within the planet's equatorial plane, in the same sense as the planet's rotation, and at orbital distances of up to tens of planetary radii—and much smaller irregular satellites, with more distant, inclined and elliptical orbits. Whereas irregular satellites are thought to be captured objects1, regular satellites are believed to have arisen as a by-product of the planet's formation, within a circumplanetary disk of gas and solids2,3,4. Outer planet satellite origin is important both for the history of these objects (including volcanic Io, Europa with its believed subsurface ocean, and organic-rich Titan) and because their existence holds clues to giant planet origins.

The number and individual masses of large satellites differ from planet to planet (Table 1). However, the systems share a distinctive trait: they each contain a similar total mass, MT, compared to that of their central planet, MP, with (MT/MP) varying only from 1.1 × 10-4 to 2.5 × 10-4. This similarity is remarkable, and its cause unknown. The bulk compositions of the gas planets differ, and as such their satellite system masses are not a common fraction of each planet's solid (rock + ice) or gaseous (H + He) components. Additionally, (MT/MP) ≈ 10-4 is orders of magnitude smaller than the mass ratios of the large satellites of solid planets, with the Moon and Pluto's moon, Charon, having (MT/MP) = 0.012 and 0.1, respectively. Neither Jupiter nor Saturn, for instance, has such a proportionally massive Earth-sized satellite.

Table 1 Regular satellite systems

Gas planet satellite formation models have historically used as their initial condition a circumplanetary disk containing a total mass in gas and solids necessary to produce the satellites we see. Such an initial condition is, by definition, ad hoc, given both the rapid evolution of circumplanetary material compared to planetary formation timescales and dynamical processes that can cause much of the material supplied to such a disk to be eventually collected by the planet. Thus a planet's current satellites may provide little constraint on the total mass that was processed through its disk.

Here we consider a model in which satellites grow within an actively supplied circumplanetary disk, sustained by a time-dependent inflow of gas and solids from heliocentric orbit during the end stages of the planet's formation. We use both numerical simulation and analytical estimates to describe the supply of material to the disk, satellite growth, and satellite orbital decay and loss caused by satellite interactions with the gas. We find that a common satellite system mass fraction of 10-4 results, independent of the total mass processed through the disk and only weakly dependent on the least certain model parameters. We also for the first time generate satellite systems with properties generally consistent with those of Jupiter, Saturn and Uranus using direct simulation.

Slow-inflow disk model

During a jovian planet's early growth, its massive gaseous atmosphere is distended to 102 to 103 times the current sizes of Jupiter or Saturn3. The final stages of its growth involve both a slowing in the rate of gas inflow to the planet (for example, as the local supply of material is depleted or the circumsolar gas nebula begins to dissipate5), and the planet's gravitational contraction, which is accompanied by the formation of a circumplanetary disk6,7,8. We model satellite growth within such a disk9, supplied by an inflow of gas and solids to circumplanetary orbit across a region extending roughly from the planet's surface to an outer distance of a few tens of planetary radii (Fig. 1). The disk gas diffuses viscously, causing it to radially spread. For a gas spreading time short compared to the characteristic time over which the inflow changes, the amount of gas in the disk can be estimated as a quasi-steady state between the inflow supply and removal as gas spreads inwards onto the planet and outwards to the disk's outer edge. Solids smaller than metre-scale are bound aerodynamically to the gas, and are delivered with it from heliocentric orbit to the disk. Once in circumplanetary orbit, rapid mutual collisions allow particles to grow large enough to decouple from the gas before they can be removed by aerodynamic drag9. Continued satellite growth then occurs with an overall rate controlled by the rate of solid inflow9.

Figure 1: An inflow-supplied circumplanetary disk.
figure 1

a, Hydrodynamical model6 of gas inflow into the Hill sphere (solid line) of a jovian-mass planet, viewed from above. Brightness scales with gas density; flow streamlines are dashed. b, The disk model considered here9, viewed edge-on. Gas and small solids from heliocentric orbits flow into the disk (indicated by solid arrows) across a region extending from an inner radius rin to an outer radius, rC, with an inflow flux per area \(F_{{\rm in}} \propto \,{\rm (1/}r)^{{\rm \gamma }_{{\rm in}} } \) (where r is orbital radius and γin is an input parameter), with Fin containing a mass ratio f of gas-to-solids. Once in orbit, the gas viscously spreads (indicated by dashed arrows) with timescale τνr2/ν and a viscosity18 ν = αcH, where α < 1 is a parameter characterizing the strength of viscous turbulence in a gas disk of sound speed c and vertical scale height H. When , the gas maintains a quasi-steady-state surface density, σG (ref. 9). For γin = 0 and rrC, with the bracketed quantity estimated for (r/rC) = 0.5 and (rC/rd) = 0.2 (ref. 9), where rd is the disk outer edge and Ω is orbital frequency at radius r. Analytical estimates (see text) suggest that rC is on the order of a few times 10RP, although because the planet's gravity alters the gas density and flow in its vicinity, hydrodynamical simulations are needed for improved estimates. Protostellar disk models5 consider 10-4 < α < 0.1, and τν ≈ (1/α) yr for protosatellite disks with rrC ≈ 30RP. While the source of viscosity in un-ionized disks is debated, several processes could contribute to protosatellite disks, including turbulence due to the velocity differential between inflowing and orbiting gas44, baryclinic instability45, and density wave torques from the satellites9,46. Solar composition material has f ≈ 102, while the bulk compositions of Jupiter and Saturn are in the range f ≈ 3 to 30 (Table 1). During the satellite formation era, f could have been larger than solar if most solids were contained in large objects, or smaller if some of the gas nebula had already dissipated and fragmentation had maintained a supply of small material.

Satellite growth and loss

A satellite's orbit is affected by torques resulting from its gravitational interactions with the gas. The satellite's gravity induces spiral density waves in the gas disk, and the interaction of these waves with the satellite yields a net negative torque that acts as a drag on the satellite's orbit. The torque is proportional to (mS/MP)2, where mS is the satellite's mass, while the satellite's orbital angular momentum is proportional to (mS/MP). Thus density wave torques become more important as satellites grow.

Interactions with density waves circularize satellite orbits10,11,12, and on a longer timescale, cause their orbital radii to decay through so-called type I migration13,14. The associated eccentricity (e) and semi-major axis (a) decay timescales, and , are given by:

where Ca and Ce are constants of order unity15,16, σG is the disk gas surface density, Ω = (GMP/r3)1/2 is the keplerian angular velocity at radius r, and H is the vertical thickness of the gas with sound speed c, with (H/r) ≈ (c/) ≈ 0.1.

In a disk supplied by an ongoing inflow, a satellite grows until it reaches a critical mass for which the characteristic time for its further growth is comparable to its type I orbital decay timescale. Satellites cannot grow substantially larger than this critical mass before they are lost to collision with the planet. The accretion timescale for a mass mS satellite is τaccfmS/(2πrΔrFin), where Fin is the inflow flux per area, f is the gas-to-solids mass ratio in the inflow, and 2πrΔr is the annular disk area over which the satellite accumulates material. We find (see Supplementary Notes) that the annulus width is a function of a satellite's characteristic maximum eccentricity, e, with Δr/r ≈ 2e and e ≈ (H/r)(mS/4πrHσG)1/5, owing to a balance between eccentricity damping by density waves and excitation via gravitational scatterings with similarly sized objects17. Using such an estimate for Δr gives τacc ≈ (G/Fin)(mS/4πrHσG)4/5.

The critical maximum satellite mass, mcrit, is then found by setting τacc = τ1 from equation (1) and solving for mS = mcrit. In quasi-steady state, the gas surface density σG is proportional to the inflow rate and inversely proportional to the rate at which the gas disk spreads, with the latter parameterized by a dimensionless constant18 α (so that σG(Fin/α); see also Fig. 1 legend). We simplify by considering a uniform inflow flux per area across the disk interior to a radius rC, so that FinMP/(πrC2τG), where τGMP(dM/dt)-1 is the timescale for delivery of mass MP. The critical satellite mass in planet masses is then (see also Supplementary Notes):

where χ ≡ [(1 week/{2π/Ω})(f/102)(τG/107 yr)]1/9 is of order unity. The ratio (mcrit/MP) depends extremely weakly on the inflow rate through the (τG)1/9 term in χ. Thus a similar maximum satellite mass would result for a wide range of inflow rates. The disk aspect ratio, (H/r), is a slowly varying quantity with r for most disks, with (H/r) ≈ 0.1 (ref. 9). Although rC could potentially vary substantially between planets, so long as satellites form throughout the inflow region, the ratio (r/rC) will be similar and of order unity for the largest satellites. The last term in equation (2) contains the ratio of two key parameters: the viscosity α parameter, and the gas-to-solids ratio in the inflow, f. For a given inflow flux, a higher viscosity yields lower disk gas surface densities, and thus allows larger mass satellites to survive against type I decay, while a lower f implies a more solid-rich inflow, which hastens the rate of satellite growth so that objects grow larger before they are lost.

We now consider the implications of this limiting mass for the total mass of the resulting satellite system. Consider an inflow that persists for a time exceeding that needed for a satellite of mass mcrit to form. Within a given annulus in the disk, a satellite grows to a mass mcrit before being lost to type I decay, but in a comparable timescale to its loss another similarly massive satellite grows in its place (because τ1τacc). In this way, the disk is regulated to contain a total mass in satellites, MT, comparable to a distribution of mass mcrit objects across the inflow region. For (H/r) and f that are approximately constant across the disk, the predicted satellite system mass fraction is:

similar to the observed satellite systems. Here we assume rCRP, where RP is the planet's radius. Note that (MT/MP) is insensitive to inflow rate through χ, lacks a dependence on rC, and depends quite weakly on (α/f).

Simulation results

We model satellite growth and loss using a direct N-body accretion simulation19, modified to include interactions with a gas disk and ongoing mass inflow (Supplementary Methods). The solid inflow is mimicked by the addition of orbiting objects with random positions within the inflow region at a rate proportional to (Fin/f). Collisions are treated as inelastic mergers.

Figure 2 shows results of three simulations involving a time-constant gas inflow rate but varied values for (α/f). Type I orbital decay acts as a negative feedback on the total mass contained in the satellite system, causing (MT/MP) to oscillate about a value comparable to the equation (3) estimate. Figures 3 and 4 show results of exponentially decaying, time-dependent inflows. If the total mass in solids delivered to the disk is comparable or greater than MT, one or more satellite systems described by equations (2) and (3) result. For example, a solar composition (f ≈ 102) inflow that provided the last 10% of a planet's mass could yield approximately five satellite systems with MT/MP = 2 × 10-4.

Figure 2: Results of satellite accretion simulations with time-constant inflows.
figure 2

The total mass in satellites, MT, scaled to the planet's mass, MP, is shown versus time scaled to τGMP/(dM/dt)-1, where dM/dt is the inflow rate. All three cases consider inflows having τG = 5 × 106 yr, rC = 30RP, and γin = 0, with the green, blue and red lines corresponding respectively to simulations with (α/f) = 10-6, 5 × 10-5 and 5 × 10-4. The inflow of solids causes MT to increase with time until objects of mass mcrit form (equation (2)). The orbits of the largest satellites then decay inward, and MT decreases in discrete steps as satellites are lost to collision with the planet. Solid inflow to the disk continues, leading to the growth of another generation of mass mcrit objects, and the cycle repeats. As (MT/MP) depends on (α/f)1/3, the factor of 500 variation in (α/f) across these simulations yields about a factor of 10 spread in the characteristic system mass fractions. The long period oscillations in (MT/MP) reflect the time needed to deliver mass sufficient to form mass mcrit objects; this period shortens as (α/f) (and therefore (mcrit/MP)) is decreased for a fixed τG. Shorter period variations result from the loss of individual objects. Dashed lines are predicted (MT/MP) values (equation (3)). Equations (2) and (3) treat disk annuli independently but in actuality, as satellites formed in the outer disk migrate inwards they pass through interior zones and cannibalize material along the way. Migration-driven growth hastens their orbital decay, so that they are lost somewhat more quickly than the time needed to replenish their mass in their original radial zone. This causes both a spread in the maximum satellite mass at a given time compared to equation (2), and the (MT/MP) value from equation (3) to be an approximate upper limit, as seen here.

Figure 3: Properties of observed satellites compared to simulations.
figure 3

Panel a shows observed satellites, while panels b and c contain final simulated systems produced by time-dependent inflows (with mS, satellite mass; MP planetary mass). Panels b and c show results of inflows with γin = 0, rC = 30RP, 1.7 < Min/MT < 10 (where Min is the total mass in solids delivered to the disk), and inflow exponential decay times, τin, between 2 × 105 yr and 1.5 × 106 yr. Systems were simulated for between 3 × 106 yr and 107 yr. Similar results are expected for higher Min/MT values (corresponding to longer decay times and/or higher initial inflow rates), provided that the corresponding inflow rate is consistent with a contracted planet and a circumplanetary disk. Horizontal lines connect periapse to apoapse for each satellite. b, A high, (α/f) = 5 × 10-4 case, with α = 0.05, produces five satellites with (MT/MP) = 6.1 × 10-4 (c39, black), while a low, (α/f) = 10-6 case, with α = 10-4, produces six satellites containing (MT/MP) = 6.6 × 10-5 (c41, yellow). An (α/f) = 6.5 × 10-5 case with α = 0.0065 produces a galilean-like system with (MT/MP) = 3.0 × 10-4 (c20, red), while an (α/f) = 1.3 × 10-5 case with α = 0.0065 produces a uranian-like system with (MT/MP) = 10-4 (c64, blue). A saturnian-like system with (MT/MP) = 1.8 × 10-4 (c17, green) results for (α/f) = 6 × 10-5 and α = 0.006. The most massive satellite at 14.6RP contains 1.2 × 10-4 MP and 70% of the total satellite system mass, and its close orbital spacing to the satellite at 11.3RP (with C ≈ 7 in mutual Hill radii) suggests a future collision may occur20 (Supplementary Notes). An (α/f) = 1.2 × 10-4 case (c60, olive) yields (MT/MP) = 3.3 × 10-4, and two large satellites containing 0.9MT, with the innermost having nearly been lost to inward decay. c, (MT/MP) versus scaled time for the simulations shown in b.

Figure 4: Results of accretion simulations with time-dependent inflows.
figure 4

We consider Fin(t) = Fin(0) exp(- t/τin) and σG(t) = σG(0) exp(- t/τin), where τin is the inflow decay time (with 105τin (years) ≤2 × 106) and t = 0 is when we begin to follow the system's evolution. Grey, black and green symbols correspond to cases with (rC/RP) = 25, 30 and 44, respectively, while the red, orange and blue dashed lines show observed values for Jupiter, Saturn and Uranus. a, Maximum final satellite mass scaled to MP versus (α/f). (α, viscosity parameter; f, gas-to-solids ratio in the inflow.) b, Final satellite system total mass scaled to MP versus (α/f). Individual dashes are peak values from simulations with time-constant inflows (for example, Fig. 2). In a and b, black lines are equations (2) and (3) with (r/rC) = 0.5, (c/) = 0.1, τin = 106 yr, and τG = τG,lastτin(MP/MT)/f, corresponding to the last generation of satellites. The viscosity α values were estimated9 using an effective planet temperature TP = 500 K and disk opacity K = 0.1; smaller (larger) values would result if TP and/or K were higher (lower). By considering type I migration, we assume satellites do not grow massive enough to open annular gaps in the gas, at which point they transition to type II behaviour and are typically locked to the disk's viscous evolution14,47. An estimate of the gap opening mass is48 , where Cν is a constant 1–10. Our largest final satellites are all less massive than mGap for Cν = 3, with an average < mlgst/mGap > = 0.2 ± 0.1. In an inflow-supplied disk, satellites are generally lost to type I decay before they grow to mGap. Type II behaviour would tend to accelerate orbital decay relative to type I (because τντI for disks here), accentuating the limiting effects on MT and mS that we emphasize.

Comparison with observed satellite systems

Our findings reveal a range of systems, within which the most basic properties of the jovian, saturnian and uranian satellite distributions are found (Fig. 3; Supplementary Figures). These three planets' varied masses and compositions imply that they would have probably processed very different amounts of material through their protosatellite disks, and yet their satellite system mass ratios are nearly identical. The results here predict this commonality, as the balance between inflow-regulated satellite growth and gas-driven satellite loss causes the total satellite mass fraction to maintain a roughly constant value, which is nearly independent of both the inflow rate and its characteristic specific angular momentum (which, as shown below, determines rC). Thus, for example, a Jupiter-like gas giant which acquired most of its mass through gas inflow from a strongly perturbed disk (Fig. 1a) is predicted to share a common satellite mass fraction with that of a much smaller uranian-sized planet, whose gas inflow history and gravitational effects on the local nebula would have been substantially different. This common fractional value is determined primarily by the ratio of two parameters describing the disk's viscosity (α) and the inflow's gas-to-solid composition (f). A weak dependence on this ratio, with (MT/MP)(α/f)1/3, implies that satellite system masses similar to those of Jupiter, Saturn and Uranus result for 10-6 < (α/f) < 5 × 10-4, that is, a span of nearly three orders of magnitude. Although reliable predictions for α and f are lacking, commonly used values (Fig. 1 legend) fall throughout this range.

The jovian and uranian systems each have four similarly sized large satellites, while Saturn has a single large satellite and numerous smaller satellites. Both morphologies can result from cycles of satellite formation and loss, depending on the timing of inflow cessation relative to the mass fraction oscillations seen in Fig. 2. As a system containing multiple, similarly sized satellites (for example, run c20 in Fig. 3b) undergoes orbital decay, it evolves through periods in which only one or two of the largest satellites remain (for example, runs c17 and c60 in Fig. 3b), accompanied by much smaller moons that have accumulated in the regions vacated by the lost satellites, with this cycle repeating until the inflow ceases.

The median number of final satellites in our 75 simulated systems was N = 7. Future collisions on timescales longer than those simulated here are possible in many cases20 (Supplementary Notes), which would generally reduce N. As our added objects are larger than those physically expected due to the inflow, the smallest final satellites resulting from only a few mergers were not well resolved. The median number of large satellites with (mS/MP) ≥ 10-5 was Nlg = 4. These objects had average orbital separations (< Clg > ≈17) comparable to both those of the outer planets (see Table 1) and our analytic estimates (Supplementary Notes).

We find systems with maximum satellite orbital radii similar to those observed (20 < amax/RP < 60) for an inflow outer radius (rC) between 25 and 44 planetary radii (RP), with up to a factor of two variation in amax for fixed rC owing to scattering and migration (Supplementary Fig. 2). This range for rC is comparable to that implied by a three-dimensional estimate21,22 of the net specific angular momentum, j, of uniform density material entering a sphere of radius RH (see below), neglecting the planet's gravity. This gives j = ΩPRH2/5 (where ΩP is the planet's heliocentric orbital frequency, RH = aP(MP/3M*)1/3 is its Hill radius, aP its semi-major axis, and M* is the Sun's mass), implying a characteristic circumplanetary orbital radius r* = j2/GMP, with r*/RP ≈ 10 to 35 for Jupiter, Saturn and Uranus. A uniform inflow flux per area within rC has when rC ≈ 1.6r*.

Satellite compositions constrain the inflow properties during their growth, as the disk's effective temperature is a function of inflow rate (with TeffFin1/4, ref. 9). Thus early satellites forming during faster inflows (with smaller τG) would have masses set by equations (2) and (3) but rock-rich compositions (and a somewhat larger f)9,23. As inflow slows, ice is increasingly incorporated. As an example, a final generation of jovian satellites produced by a solar composition inflow with a τin = 106-yr decay timescale (comparable to solar nebular lifetimes5) would form within a disk having temperatures below 200 K exterior to about 15RP (with α approximately equal to a few ×10-3, a disk opacity24 K = O(10-1) cm2 g-1, and a planet temperature TP ≈ 500 K, ref. 9), consistent with Jupiter's outer icy moons. For a planet with a much lower mass and temperature3, a mixture of ice and rock consistent with the uranian satellite compositions is expected throughout most of the disk.

In our most Saturn-like systems (for example, c17 in Fig. 3b and Supplementary Fig. 1), one or more inner companions to the final ‘Titan’ collided with the planet. When an inner large satellite is lost as the inflow wanes, satellites containing a much smaller total mass that form in its place derive their material from cooler disk conditions than those which predominated during earlier growth. For a solar composition inflow with τin = 106 yr, the last 10% of a satellite system with (MT/MP) ≈ O(10-4) is delivered at rates slow enough that the ice stability line moves inward to a few planetary radii for a Saturn-like planet. This would allow for ice incorporation in Saturn's small inner satellites.

Whereas our results offer strong support for a common mode of origin for the satellites of gas giants (like Jupiter and Saturn), the uranian system remains more uncertain. The uranian satellites' properties are consistent with those produced here, but the 98° tilt of Uranus' rotational axis requires additional explanation. A giant impact could have been responsible25, with the current satellites forming subsequently. It is not obvious that post-impact gas inflow could yield retrograde satellites (that is, regular satellites of a retrograde spinning Uranus), although retrograde circumplanetary disks have resulted in some simulations of gas inflow to approximately Uranus-sized planets26. The substantial 27° obliquity of Saturn probably resulted from spin–orbit resonant interactions27,28, which caused the planet's obliquity to change slowly enough that pre-existing regular satellites would have tracked its shift and remained aligned with the planet's equatorial plane29. Recent work argues for a similarly gradual origin of Uranus' obliquity30. Our results reveal an advantage in linking the uranian satellites to formation from an inflow-supplied rather than an impact-produced disk3,31,32, in that the similarity in the system's mass fraction to those of Jupiter and Saturn would then be causal rather than coincidental. Further work incorporating the origin of the uranian obliquity is needed to ultimately distinguish between these alternatives.

Although the model presented here applies to regular satellite formation, it is remarkable that Neptune's single large, irregular satellite, Triton, also contains a similar mass fraction, with MTriton/MP ≈ 2.1 × 10-4. Triton's orbit is retrograde and inclined, and it is believed to have been captured intact from heliocentric orbit33,34,35. Although we lack direct evidence of a putative33,35,36 original prograde neptunian satellite system, it seems clear that it cannot have contained much greater total mass than Triton itself. Otherwise, a retrograde and initially eccentric Triton would have been destroyed while traversing the regular satellite region (either as it was accreted or collisionally disrupted, or by the decay of its orbital angular momentum36 owing to interactions with a much greater mass in prograde material). The survival of a captured retrograde satellite requires it to have comparable or greater mass than any prograde system with which it actively interacts. As larger interlopers would have been less numerous (and therefore captured less frequently), the most probable surviving Triton-like object would be one having the smallest mass affording its survival, which would suggest that MTriton is similar to the total mass of Neptune's original regular satellites, or MT/MNeptuneO(10-4) as well.

General implications

When more than a few per cent of a gas planet's mass in solar composition material is processed through a circumplanetary disk, one or more generations of inflow-produced satellite systems are likely9,23, with earlier satellites doomed to collision with the planet. Today's observed satellites are then the last generations that formed as inflow to the planets waned, implying that they formed very slowly in low-pressure, ‘gas-starved’37 disks. For extrasolar giant planets orbiting within their stellar habitable zone, the prospect has been raised of the existence of habitable environments on hypothesized Earth-sized satellites38,39. Provided that such planets accumulated gas while contracted to scales consistent with circumplanetary disks (which appears likely for nebular removal timescales ≥106 years8,40; Supplementary Notes), the findings here imply that their largest surviving satellites would contain on the order of 10-4MP, so that a Jupiter-mass exoplanet would host only Moon-to-Mars sized satellites.