Figure 2: Total crop yield variability explained due to climate variability over the last three decades.
From: Climate variation explains a third of global crop yield variability
A value of 1.0 implies that the entire variability in observed yields was explained by climate variability (coefficient of determination metric; sample size of ~13,500 political units × 30 years per crop). Similarly a value of 0.30–0.45 implies 30–45% of the variability in yields was explained by climate variability. We cutoff the range at 0.75 (or 75%) and above to a single categorical colour. No effect implies that at the P=0.10 level, there was no statistical difference between the best fit model and the null model in the political unit. White areas indicate where the crop is not harvested or analysed. (a) maize, (b) rice, (c) wheat, (d) soybean.
