Table 1 Global populations on land at risk
From: New elevation data triple estimates of global vulnerability to sea-level rise and coastal flooding
Model | RCP | Frequency | 2050 | 2100 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total | Marginal | Total | Marginal | |||||||
CoastalDEM | SRTM | CoastalDEM | SRTM | CoastalDEM | SRTM | CoastalDEM | SRTM | |||
K14 | 2.6 | Permanent | 150 (130–160) | 37 (32–43) | 40 (20–50) | 9 (4–15) | 190 (150–250) | 48 (36–65) | 80 (40–140) | 20 (8–37) |
RL1 | 300 (270–320) | 78 (71–86) | 50 (20–70) | 13 (6–21) | 340 (300–400) | 95 (78–120) | 90 (50–150) | 30 (13–55) | ||
4.5 | Permanent | 150 (140–170) | 38 (33–44) | 40 (30–60) | 10 (5–16) | 200 (160–260) | 52 (39–70) | 90 (50–150) | 24 (11–42) | |
RL1 | 300 (280–320) | 79 (72–87) | 50 (30–70) | 14 (7–22) | 360 (310–420) | 100 (82–130) | 110 (60–170) | 35 (17–65) | ||
8.5 | Permanent | 150 (140–170) | 39 (33–45) | 40 (30–60) | 11 (5–17) | 230 (180–310) | 60 (44–85) | 120 (70–200) | 32 (16–57) | |
RL1 | 300 (280–330) | 80 (73–89) | 50 (30–80) | 15 (8–24) | 390 (330–460) | 110 (90–150) | 140 (80–210) | 45 (25–85) | ||
K17 | 2.6 | Permanent | 150 (130–170) | 37 (29–47) | 40 (20–60) | 9 (1–19) | 190 (140–280) | 50 (32–75) | 80 (30–170) | 22 (4–47) |
RL1 | 290 (260–330) | 77 (68–91) | 40 (10–80) | 12 (3–26) | 350 (280–430) | 97 (72–140) | 100 (30–180) | 32 (7–75) | ||
4.5 | Permanent | 150 (130–180) | 38 (30–48) | 40 (20–70) | 10 (2–20) | 250 (170–380) | 64 (41–110) | 140 (60–270) | 36 (13–82) | |
RL1 | 300 (260–330) | 78 (68–92) | 50 (10–80) | 13 (3–27) | 400 (320–510) | 120 (84–180) | 150 (70–260) | 55 (19–120) | ||
8.5 | Permanent | 150 (130–180) | 39 (31–50) | 40 (20–70) | 11 (3–22) | 340 (220–520) | 94 (56–180) | 230 (110–410) | 66 (28–152) | |
RL1 | 300 (270–340) | 81 (69–95) | 50 (20–90) | 16 (4–30) | 480 (380–630) | 170 (110–260) | 230 (130–380) | 105 (45–200) | ||
