Fig. 3: Individual process contributions to the three most dominant modes.
From: A less cloudy picture of the inter-model spread in future global warming projections
The regressed patterns (the top six rows) of the inter-model warming spreads in the individual (partial) surface temperature changes (Fig. 1e–j) against the principal components of EOF1 (empirical orthogonal function, the left column), EOF2 (the middle column), and EOF3 (the right column). The bottom row shows the pattern-amplitude projection (PAP) coefficients (K), measuring the contributions of individual processes to the first three EOF patterns whose sum (i.e., the total) gives the root mean square amplitude (K) of the corresponding EOF mode (see the Methods section for details). The abbreviations AL, WV, CLD, ATM, OCN, and HF stand for processes of ice-albedo, water vapor, clouds, atmospheric dynamics, ocean dynamics plus heat storage, and surface turbulent heat fluxes, respectively.
