Fig. 3: Adaptation outcomes accounting for crop shifting. | Nature Communications

Fig. 3: Adaptation outcomes accounting for crop shifting.

From: Crop switching reduces agricultural losses from climate change in the United States by half under RCP 8.5

Fig. 3

(Top) The portion of the area allocated to each crop, under the optimization, in percent labeled boxes. Flows between the allocations show the portion of the area previously allocated to the crop on the left, and flowing into its new allocation on the right. The difference between observed and optimized crop allocations (first transition) is due to replacing secondary crops with primary crops. (Bottom) Profits under observed and optimized crop allocations for the current climate (first box), 2050, and 2070. The first bar in each column gives estimates of profits without relocation of crops, and the second bar is with optimization. The bars show mean profits across posterior draw Monte Carlo optimizations and the error ranges show 95% credible intervals.

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