Correction to: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-018-0055-3, Published online 20 December 2018

In the original published version of this Article, revisions that had been requested by the authors at proof correction were not included. Figures 2 and 5 have been resupplied at higher resolution, and the axes and labels on Figs 3 and 4 have been amended for clarity (x-axis labels made uniform between panels in Fig. 4) or added when missing (missing temperature label in Fig. 3a). These corrections have been made to the PDF and HTML version of the article.