Ocean heat content is increasing, yet projections have not been constrained by observations. Using Argo data and CMIP6 models shows high climate sensitivity models overestimate increases; constrained projections estimate sea-level rise, from 0 to 2,000 m thermal expansion, of 17–26 cm by 2081–2100.
- Kewei Lyu
- Xuebin Zhang
- John A. Church